Now that Microsoft Windows 8 is globally available many people wonder if it will be the next Windows Vista or the next Mobile 5. Well, I am not that pessimistic and I am sure W8 will be adopted by at least 50% of the desktop users. As tablet use increases in enterprises, I am confident W8 tablets will gain its share. Ok, it will never outnumber iPads (not even reach 10% market share), but the full Office license will be the killer app for touch tablets. This is where we were waiting for, it is the next step for laptop users and a cool step.
So my predICTion is that more than 60% of laptop users will swap it for a touch tablet with W8 within 4 years!
I love the stories about predictions in the past and seeing how those came true or not. This blog is for my future past-predictions. Sometimes I will add predictions from others.
Showing posts with label mobile. Show all posts
Showing posts with label mobile. Show all posts
Friday, October 26, 2012
Tuesday, November 29, 2011
The future of the Cloud is offline storage, at least for mobile devices
An interesting thought of Jeff Belk in an article at gigaom.com: The future beyond the cloud is in our hands. In, let's say 2020, mobile devices will have a capacity of many many terabytes offline storage. Bandwidth and capacity of the mobile carriers will still be a problem according to Jeff. So many companies like Google and Amazon will make use of local storage to put lots of their online content making it available offline. Synchronizing will take place at moments when devices are in reach of local area networks.
To me it is plausible, although it contradicts with one of my own pred-ICT-ions: 'future mobile devices will be small and with limited functionality'. Jeff's prediction might be the situation for rural areas with wide area networks with limited capacity, mine for urban areas where high bandwidth wide area networks like LTE are ubiquitous.
We'll see if our pred-ICT-ions will contrad-ICT or not!
To me it is plausible, although it contradicts with one of my own pred-ICT-ions: 'future mobile devices will be small and with limited functionality'. Jeff's prediction might be the situation for rural areas with wide area networks with limited capacity, mine for urban areas where high bandwidth wide area networks like LTE are ubiquitous.
We'll see if our pred-ICT-ions will contrad-ICT or not!
Thursday, October 20, 2011
Pred-ICT-ion: future personal mobile devices will be small and with limited functionality
In 2009 SIMYO and Ahead of Time presented the future of mobile media and communication. See this video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FScddkTMlTc
This film is presenting a summary of key results of the open think tank MOCOM 2020.
It always surprises me what those predictors think of the future role of an hand-held device. It will be larger, smarter, faster, with more bandwith than ever and more powerful. But it will still be there!
My pred-ICT-ion is that the world around us will become smarter, always connected and adaptive to us: a user-centric world. So the need for such a super-device will diminish in my opinion. We might still wear an identification device, for security reasons, although the world around us should recognise us and determine our identity unmistakably. Identification, combined with communication facilities, especially for rural environments which world is less smart than in urban areas.
In short: instead of a super mobile device in 2020 the function of our personal device is limited to identification and live communication. That's it. The world around us will provide us the rest.
Next step is an implanted device....
This film is presenting a summary of key results of the open think tank MOCOM 2020.
It always surprises me what those predictors think of the future role of an hand-held device. It will be larger, smarter, faster, with more bandwith than ever and more powerful. But it will still be there!
My pred-ICT-ion is that the world around us will become smarter, always connected and adaptive to us: a user-centric world. So the need for such a super-device will diminish in my opinion. We might still wear an identification device, for security reasons, although the world around us should recognise us and determine our identity unmistakably. Identification, combined with communication facilities, especially for rural environments which world is less smart than in urban areas.
In short: instead of a super mobile device in 2020 the function of our personal device is limited to identification and live communication. That's it. The world around us will provide us the rest.
Next step is an implanted device....
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