An interesting thought of Jeff Belk in an article at gigaom.com: The future beyond the cloud is in our hands. In, let's say 2020, mobile devices will have a capacity of many many terabytes offline storage. Bandwidth and capacity of the mobile carriers will still be a problem according to Jeff. So many companies like Google and Amazon will make use of local storage to put lots of their online content making it available offline. Synchronizing will take place at moments when devices are in reach of local area networks.
To me it is plausible, although it contradicts with one of my own pred-ICT-ions: 'future mobile devices will be small and with limited functionality'. Jeff's prediction might be the situation for rural areas with wide area networks with limited capacity, mine for urban areas where high bandwidth wide area networks like LTE are ubiquitous.
We'll see if our pred-ICT-ions will contrad-ICT or not!
Tuesday, November 29, 2011
Thursday, October 20, 2011
Pred-ICT-ion: future personal mobile devices will be small and with limited functionality
In 2009 SIMYO and Ahead of Time presented the future of mobile media and communication. See this video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FScddkTMlTc
This film is presenting a summary of key results of the open think tank MOCOM 2020.
It always surprises me what those predictors think of the future role of an hand-held device. It will be larger, smarter, faster, with more bandwith than ever and more powerful. But it will still be there!
My pred-ICT-ion is that the world around us will become smarter, always connected and adaptive to us: a user-centric world. So the need for such a super-device will diminish in my opinion. We might still wear an identification device, for security reasons, although the world around us should recognise us and determine our identity unmistakably. Identification, combined with communication facilities, especially for rural environments which world is less smart than in urban areas.
In short: instead of a super mobile device in 2020 the function of our personal device is limited to identification and live communication. That's it. The world around us will provide us the rest.
Next step is an implanted device....
This film is presenting a summary of key results of the open think tank MOCOM 2020.
It always surprises me what those predictors think of the future role of an hand-held device. It will be larger, smarter, faster, with more bandwith than ever and more powerful. But it will still be there!
My pred-ICT-ion is that the world around us will become smarter, always connected and adaptive to us: a user-centric world. So the need for such a super-device will diminish in my opinion. We might still wear an identification device, for security reasons, although the world around us should recognise us and determine our identity unmistakably. Identification, combined with communication facilities, especially for rural environments which world is less smart than in urban areas.
In short: instead of a super mobile device in 2020 the function of our personal device is limited to identification and live communication. That's it. The world around us will provide us the rest.
Next step is an implanted device....
Wednesday, October 5, 2011
Pred-ICT-ion: Cloud data will be separated to avoid vendor lockin at platform level
In an article 'Cloud interoperability: Problems and best practices' of Computerworld, June 1st, 2011, Bill Claybrook states 'As more applications find their way to the cloud, data portability and other issues are coming to the fore'.
Data portability, by nature, is a platform issue, for the technical data format is usually optimized for the software that manage that data. To solve this problem we already have seen many initiatives, like SQL and XML. However, we need a more semantic format that descibes data in a way that is technologically agnostic and rich enough to describe the peculiar differences of the many datamodeling techniques. No abstraction but a formal description. Business intelligence companies have the knowledge to define such a standard, because they have experience with a variety of technologies for their ETL-tools.
And when the standard is in place, why not separate your data from your cloud software provider? This will solve both the portability issues and the vendor lockin.
My prediction is, that before 2020 data is separated from applications and freedom of choice for Software-as-a-Service is no longer limited because of the data portability issue.
Data portability, by nature, is a platform issue, for the technical data format is usually optimized for the software that manage that data. To solve this problem we already have seen many initiatives, like SQL and XML. However, we need a more semantic format that descibes data in a way that is technologically agnostic and rich enough to describe the peculiar differences of the many datamodeling techniques. No abstraction but a formal description. Business intelligence companies have the knowledge to define such a standard, because they have experience with a variety of technologies for their ETL-tools.
And when the standard is in place, why not separate your data from your cloud software provider? This will solve both the portability issues and the vendor lockin.
My prediction is, that before 2020 data is separated from applications and freedom of choice for Software-as-a-Service is no longer limited because of the data portability issue.
Friday, September 9, 2011
Robots in 2010 according to prediction in 2001
In http://www.cnet.com/4520-6022_1-102091-1.html Amber Ascot asked in 2001 several research institutes about their vision and predictions. One remarkable prediction is from Sony, inventor of the Aibo:
I predict that we have to wait another 9 years....
In 2010 advanced personal robots will appear, as will robot-assisted surgery. People will adopt robotics into their bodies.I might have missed them, but where are the personal robots? There's a few: mowing robot, vacuum cleaners... Though convenient, not very "personal", for anybody can use them.
I predict that we have to wait another 9 years....
Tuesday, August 23, 2011
Pred-ICT-ion: within 2 years a Super Profile will be introduced
Managing all your profiles is a burden. A new job has to be added to several places like Facebook, Twitter etc.
Solution?
Imagine a super profile, where you can tick which attributes have to sync with your derived profiles. Where you distinguish between business, personal, friends information.
Good idea? If there were such a Super Profile, I would be the first to use it!
Solution?
Imagine a super profile, where you can tick which attributes have to sync with your derived profiles. Where you distinguish between business, personal, friends information.
Good idea? If there were such a Super Profile, I would be the first to use it!
Thursday, August 11, 2011
Pred-ICT-ion: html5 and server-sent events: a way to port real winforms userinterfaces to the browser
Html5's server-sent events http://dev.w3.org/html5/eventsource/ break in my opinion one of the fundamental design requirements of internet technology for browsing documents. Preventing servers from sending events to the browser took care of many security threads. I suppose and expect that html5's implementation by the various organizations like Mozilla will be very secure.
So, from then we can build real interactive userinterfaces as we are used to in client/server applications. I expect the first port of winforms (with server-sent events, no polling of server data!) in 2013 by Microsoft.
So, from then we can build real interactive userinterfaces as we are used to in client/server applications. I expect the first port of winforms (with server-sent events, no polling of server data!) in 2013 by Microsoft.
Thursday, August 4, 2011
Google+ is too comprehensive
Ok, my first predICTion, solely based on my humble opinion: Google+ will grow but not supercede Facebook, Twitter and LinkedIn.
Why? FB, T and LI are easy to integrate into aggregators, have 'atomic' features. Google+ is too comprehensive and acts too much as 'the central point' for other social networks. It contradicts with the charming aspects of Web 2.0, where users can combine and aggregate as they like, not as Google likes...
Why? FB, T and LI are easy to integrate into aggregators, have 'atomic' features. Google+ is too comprehensive and acts too much as 'the central point' for other social networks. It contradicts with the charming aspects of Web 2.0, where users can combine and aggregate as they like, not as Google likes...
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