Thursday, October 20, 2011

Pred-ICT-ion: future personal mobile devices will be small and with limited functionality

In 2009 SIMYO and Ahead of Time presented the future of mobile media and communication. See this video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FScddkTMlTc
This film is presenting a summary of key results of the open think tank MOCOM 2020.
It always surprises me what those predictors think of the future role of an hand-held device. It will be larger, smarter, faster, with more bandwith than ever and more powerful. But it will still be there!

My pred-ICT-ion is that the world around us will become smarter, always connected and adaptive to us: a user-centric world. So the need for such a super-device will diminish in my opinion. We might still wear an identification device, for security reasons, although the world around us should recognise us and determine our identity unmistakably. Identification, combined with communication facilities, especially for rural environments which world is less smart than in urban areas.

In short: instead of a super mobile device in 2020 the function of our personal device is limited to identification and live communication. That's it. The world around us will provide us the rest.

Next step is an implanted device....

Wednesday, October 5, 2011

Pred-ICT-ion: Cloud data will be separated to avoid vendor lockin at platform level

In an article 'Cloud interoperability: Problems and best practices' of Computerworld, June 1st, 2011, Bill Claybrook states 'As more applications find their way to the cloud, data portability and other issues are coming to the fore'.
Data portability, by nature, is a platform issue, for the technical data format is usually optimized for the software that manage that data. To solve this problem we already have seen many initiatives, like SQL and XML. However, we need a more semantic format that descibes data in a way that is technologically agnostic and rich enough to describe the peculiar differences of the many datamodeling techniques. No abstraction but a formal description. Business intelligence companies have the knowledge to define such a standard, because they have experience with a variety of technologies for their ETL-tools.

And when the standard is in place, why not separate your data from your cloud software provider? This will solve both the portability issues and the vendor lockin.
My prediction is, that before 2020 data is separated from applications and freedom of choice for Software-as-a-Service is no longer limited because of the data portability issue.